Complexity Risk

On January 9, 2011, in Risk, by admin

Following is from one of our readers…”subguy”

Found what appears to be an interesting article on risk-

http://sloanreview.mit.edu/the-magazine/articles/2007/summer/48416/understanding-and-managing-complexity-risk/?type=x&reprint=48416

You have to subscribe to read the whole thing; will see if it is worth it to me.

Big picture-”Increased complexity of a company’s systems — products, processes, technologies, organizational structures, legal contracts and so on — can create dangerous vulnerabilities.” Appears to dovetail nicely with the latest thoughts on “Black Swan” events, randomness, and planning methodologies.

 

2 Responses to Complexity Risk

  1. Magdalena says:

    I know what I don’t know I don’t know….

  2. admin says:

    Subguy,

    Interesting article.

    I think this quote may be appropriate:

    The unknown
s we know, 
there are known known’s. 
There are things we know we know. 
We also know 
there are known unknowns. 
That is to say 
we know there are some things 
we do not know. 
But there are also unknown unknowns, 
the ones we don’t know 
we don’t know.
    —Feb. 12, 2002, Department of Defense news briefing

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GiPe1OiKQuk&feature=related

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